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取代IMF總裁特勞斯 卡恩的可能人選

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As International Monetary Fund chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn remains jailed in New York on sexual assault charges, speculation is already simmering on who might succeed him.

取代IMF總裁特勞斯-卡恩的可能人選

隨着國際貨幣基金組織總裁施特勞斯-卡恩因性攻擊指控還被關押在紐約,有關誰可能取代其職位的推測不斷出現。

It remains uncertain whether the current IMF head, France's Dominique Strauss-Kahn, will be ordered to stand trial on charges of sexually assaulting a hotel maid. Strauss-Kahn claims he is innocent.

目前還不清楚現任國際貨幣基金組織總裁施特勞斯-卡恩是否會因被控性攻擊一名旅館女服務生而出庭受審。施特勞斯-卡恩聲稱自己是無辜的。

Even if this is the case, a number of observers believe his career at the IMF is over - and that the allegations, true or false, have also likely dashed any hopes for a French presidential run next year.

就算施特勞斯-卡恩確實清白無辜,一些觀察人士認爲,他作爲國際貨幣基金組織總裁的生涯已經結束;而且不論對他的指控屬實或錯誤,這些指控很可能使他明年競選法國總統的希望全部落空。

Speaking from Brussels, where she was attending a European Union ministerial meeting, Austria's finance minister, Maria Fekter, suggested Strauss-Kahn should step down to avoid further damaging the IMF.

在布魯塞爾參加歐盟財政部長會議的奧地利財政部長費克特認爲,施特勞斯-卡恩應該下臺,以避免進一步傷害到國際貨幣基金組織。

Spanish Finance Minister Elena Salgado says it is up to Strauss-Kahn to make that decision. But Salgado said the sexual assault charges Strauss-Kahn has been accused of are very serious. While justice must take its course, she said, her solidarity is with the woman who suffered the assault - if those charges proved true.

西班牙財政部長薩爾加多則表示,要不要下臺應該由施特勞斯-卡恩自己決定。但是她說,對施特勞斯-卡恩的性攻擊指控是非常嚴重的事。在事件進入司法程序之際,如果指控屬實的話,她對遭受攻擊的這名女性表示支持。

Financial analysts are now speculating on a number of possible candidates to replace Strauss-Kahn, including French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde.

金融分析人士也在推測一些可能取代施特勞斯-卡恩的人選,其中包括法國財政部長拉加德。

While he would not discuss personalities, Karel Lannoo, chief executive of the Brussels-based Center for European Policy Studies, offers the profile of the ideal IMF chief.

設在布魯塞爾的歐洲政策研究中心執行長卡雷爾.蘭努不願意討論接替人選的人格特點,但是他談到了理想的國際貨幣基金組織總裁應該具有哪些條件。

"He needs at the same time to be a good economist - a good macro-economist above all - and preferably someone with a Ph.D., like Strauss-Kahn had a Ph.D. - he was welcomed on that ground four years ago because he had a Ph.D. in economics. But at the same time, who is a good diplomat," he said.

他說:“這個人必須是傑出的經濟學家,最重要的是必須是位優秀的宏觀經濟學家,而且最好有博士學位,像施特勞斯-卡恩就有個博士學位,因爲他有經濟學博士學位,四年前他出任總裁時很受歡迎。但是這個理想人選同時還必須是優秀的外交官。”The job to head the International Monetary Fund has traditionally gone to a European, and there were already indications Tuesday that Europe would be plugging for it to stay that way.

國際貨幣基金組織總裁職位傳統上由歐洲人擔任。星期二已經出現了歐洲希望這個職務還是由歐洲人出任的說法。

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso told Dutch reporters that if it is necessary to choose a successor to Strauss-Kahn, the European Union should present a candidate. German Chancellor Angela Merkel also says Europe should have good candidates ready.

歐盟委員會主席巴羅佐對荷蘭記者說, 如果有必要選擇接替施特勞斯-卡恩的人選,歐盟應該提出一名候選人。德國總理默克爾也表示,歐洲應該已經有很好的接替人選。

But other experts are looking at potential candidates outside Europe - including in emerging economies like China or Brazil. Analyst Lannoo says their lobbying weight will depend on how well they are doing at home. "If they, for example, manage to get their own economy well in order - take Brazil for example - they probably have a case to say, 'look, we can advance a good candidate.'"

但是其他專家則從歐洲以外地區,包括中國或巴西等新興經濟體來看可能的候選人。分析人士蘭努認爲,這些人選的份量取決於他們國家的表現。蘭努說:“比方說,如果他們能把自己國家的經濟推上軌道,以巴西爲例,他們就有條件說,你看,我們能提出一名傑出的候選人。”

Strauss-Kahn was widely speculated to be preparing to leave the IMF shortly, to prepare a presidential bid. "He was stepping down anyway because of [the presidential race], but have the Europeans prepared for this? I would say not," said Lannoo.

人們曾經廣泛預期,施特勞斯-卡恩很快就會離開國際貨幣基金組織,以便爲明年角逐法國總統作準備。但是分析人士蘭努說:“施特勞斯-卡恩本來就因爲總統選舉而要離職,但是歐洲人有沒有爲此作好準備呢?我的看法是沒有。”

The names of non-European IMF candidates floated in the media include former South African finance minister Trevor Manuel, Brazil's ex-central bank president Arminio Fraga, and Min Zhu from China, who is a special advisor to Strauss-Kahn.

媒體提到非歐洲人的國際貨幣基金組織總裁可能人選還包括:前南非財政部長特雷弗.曼紐爾,巴西前中央銀行總裁阿米尼.弗拉加,以及來自中國的朱民,朱民是施特勞斯-卡恩的特別顧問。