市場降低美聯儲年內加息預期
The US economy may be slowing, a top Federal Reserve policymaker conceded, as investors have ratcheted back bets on when the US central bank will finally begin to tighten monetary policy.
美聯儲(Fed)一名高層政策制定者承認，美國經濟或許正在放緩。投資者也減少了對美聯儲最終將何時開始收緊貨幣政策的押注。
William Dudley, president of the New York Fed, said he was still open to the possibility of an interest rate increase this year and stressed that the US economy was performing “pretty well”. But he highlighted weaker jobs and retail sales rises, and argued that growth was being held back by the dollar’s appreciation and swings in inventories.
紐約聯儲(New York Fed)行長威廉達德利(William Dudley)表示，他仍對年內加息的可能性持開放心態，並強調稱，美國經濟運行“相當良好”。但他強調了更疲弱的就業和零售增長，並辯稱，經濟增長受到了美元升值和庫存波動的拖累。
Interest rate futures now indicate that most traders do not see any rate increases this year, and about half think the central bank may have to wait beyond March next year. Fed Funds futures signal that there is about a 10 per cent chance that policymakers will sit on their hands until 2017.
當前利率期貨行情表明，多數交易員認爲年內不會有任何加息舉動，大約半數交易員認爲，美聯儲或許不得不等到明年3月之後才加息。聯邦基金期貨行情顯示，政策制定者在2017年前按兵不動的機率大概爲10%。
As a result, the 10-year Treasury yield has dipped back to the 2 per cent mark, confounding predictions of a gentle rise this year.
其結果是，10年期美國國債收益率跌回至2%的關口，與年內小幅加息的預測牴觸。
